Outline of This Chapter

Hempel’s Theory of Confirmation by Instances

Hypothetico-deductivism

A Primer on Probability

Bayesian Confirmation Theory

Conditionalization

Bayes’s Theorem

Bayesian Bar Diagrams

Bayes Bars with Multiple Hypotheses

Surprising Implications of Bayesianism

Limitations of Bayesianism

Uncertain Evidence

Old Evidence

The Problem of the Priors